Prof John Manners-Bell is Chief Executive of Ti, Honorary Visiting Professor at the London Metropolitan University’s Guildhall Faculty of Business and Law and an adviser to the World Economic Forum. He has over 25 years’ experience working in and analysing the global logistics sector.
As Head of Research, Nick is responsible for all of Ti’s research products, including logistics market and vertical sector reports, as well as Ti’s flagship Global Supply Chain Intelligence (GSCi) market intelligence portal. Nick is actively involved in research for these product ranges, as well as in the development of new and existing research capabilities at Ti. Nick also coordinates the efforts of Ti’s team of researchers and analysts, and supports Ti’s consultancy offering for a global client base. Prior to joining Ti in 2013, he spent several successful years working in international trade and foreign direct investment, and has since developed specialisms in e-commerce, the road freight market and emerging market logistics working in Europe, Asia and the Middle East.
Andy Ralls is a quantitative analyst at Ti. He graduated from the University of Southampton with a Mathematics with Finance degree in 2014. In his studies, he chose a final year project on actuarial modelling and forecasting and enjoyed modules on statistical distribution theory, financial mathematics and macroeconomics.
Andy has since worked for a top accountancy firm and for a wealth management company. These experiences give him a strong understanding of company accounts and investment products and has given him a wider understanding of the financial sector.
1.0 KEY FINDINGS
3.0 THE GLOBAL EXPRESS & SMALL PARCELS MARKET
3.1 Traditional Definitions
3.2 Changing definitions
3.3 The Big 3 – Facing disruption?
3.3.1 On-demand: The new frontier for the express sector?
3.3.2 Sharing Economy and Crowdshipping
3.3.3 Newer, Smarter Retail
3.3.4 Incumbents Fighting Back
3.4 Express & Small Parcels – Beyond e-commerce
3.4.1 Pharmaceutical and Healthcare Express Opportunities
3.4.2 Direct-To-Patient: How Big an Opportunity for Express Carriers?
4.0 GLOBAL EXPRESS & SMALL PARCELS MARKET SIZE & FORECAST
4.1 Global Express & Small Parcels Market Size & Growth
4.2 Asia Pacific Express & Small Parcels Market Size & Growth
4.3 Europe Express and Small Parcels Market Size & Growth
4.4 Middle East & North Africa Express & Small Parcels Market size & Growth
4.5 North American Express and Parcels Market Size & Growth
4.6 Russia, Caucasus and Central Asia Express & Small Parcels Market Size & Growth
4.7 South America Express and Small Parcels Market Size & Growth
4.8 Sub-Saharan Africa Express & Small Parcels Market Size & Growth
5.0 MAJOR EXPRESS PLAYERS
5.1 Comparative Review of The Year
5.1.1 International express provider comparison
5.1.2 EBIT margin comparison
5.1.3 Volume growth comparison
5.2 Review of Market Activity by Region
5.2.3 Middle East
30th October 2018, Bath, UK: Cross-border e-commerce drives record international express growth of 8.1% in 2018, says new research published today by Transport Intelligence (Ti).
- The global express & small parcels market is forecast to grow 8.6% in 2018, following on from 9.7% growth in 2017.
- The development of the market is evenly split, with both domestic and international markets forecast to grow at about the same rate in 2018: 8.7% and 8.1% respectively.
- The market is not only benefiting from a strong economic environment which is driving B2B volumes, but from the continued expansion of e-commerce, seen in high B2C growth rates.
- The expansion of the international market of 8.6% in 2017 was an acceleration over the previous year, with e-commerce volumes a major causal factor.
- Ti expects the global express & small parcels market will see a real compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.2% over the 2017-2022 period, with the domestic market growing at 8.6% and the international market growing at 6.2%
The global express and small parcels market continues to be disrupted by e-commerce with new demands from consumers shifting the operations of all the major express providers.
Ti’s Global Express & Small Parcels 2018 report finds the market not only benefiting from a strong economic environment which is driving B2B volumes, but from the continued expansion of e-commerce, manifesting itself in high B2C growth rates. This has provided many carriers, not least the global integrators, with the headache of how to adapt their networks, pricing and operations to e-commerce volumes both domestically and, increasingly, internationally.
According to Ti, the global express & small parcels market grew at a rapid 9.7% in 2017, and is forecast to maintain a healthy expansion rate of 8.6% in 2018. The development of the market is evenly split, with both domestic and international markets expected to grow at about the same rate: 8.7% and 8.1% respectively in 2018.
Over the next five years, Ti expects this rate of market growth to continue with a real compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.2%, with the domestic market growing at 8.6% and the international market growing at 6.2%.
“Over the last several years, a trend for much quicker growth in domestic express and small parcel markets when compared with international markets. Over 2017, the gap in growth rates has narrowed, with notably strong international market growth in Asia Pacific and North America, as well as in Europe where the international market grew at a faster rate than domestic for the first time since 2010,” said Michael Clover, Head of Commercial Development at Ti.
“Cross-border e-commerce is growing extremely quickly, and international express providers are seeing big opportunities fill the demand it’s generating,” said Nick Bailey, Head of Research at Ti. “To make the most of the opportunity, significant scale and investment in infrastructure will be required, even by today’s biggest players. We are undoubtedly entering into a period of transformation in the cross-border e-commerce market, not only for express providers like DHL, UPS and FedEx, but for online retail giants like Amazon, Alibaba and JD.com amongst others, all of whom have aggressive international expansion plans. E-commerce has and continues to change the game for domestic express in many parts of the world, it looks like it will be the turn of international express to undergo a similar transformation in the next five years.”
The express and small parcels market continues to see change beyond e-commerce, too. It is clear that the pharmaceuticals, life sciences and healthcare sector is of growing importance for the express sector as a whole. Express providers see opportunities to make better returns due to the more complex handling, regulatory and operational sophistication of the sector and a changing demographic which will lead to market growth for many years to come.
Find out how this trend will develop according to our team of experts, supported by our in-house market sizing including for the first time 5-year CAGR and 2018 full year estimates. The Global Express & Small Parcels report also looks in-depth at the pharma and healthcare sectors, including clinical trials and direct-to-patient services.
Global Express & Small Parcels 2018 contains:
- Market sizing for the global express and small parcels market – including 2017 market sizes, 5-year CARG growth rates 2017-2022, and 2018 H1 market size with 2018 full year forecast
- Profiles of the major express providers and a comparative analysis of 2017 performance
- Analysis of express opportunities in the healthcare and pharmaceuticals sector – including clinical trials and direct-to-patient delivery
- Profiles of major players changing the express sector – Alibaba, JD.com and Amazon – and analysis of the changes at UPS, FedEx and DHL
Source: Transport Intelligence, October 30th, 2018
For any enquiries, please contact Ti’s Head of Commercial Development, Michael Clover +44 (0) 1666 519907 [email protected]