Global e-commerce Logistics 2022

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Global e-commerce Logistics 2022 addresses the key trends, challenges and developments facing the market in 2022 and beyond, whilst providing comprehensive market growth data and forecasts.

The report contains Ti’s bespoke market sizing and forecast data and analysis for 2021-2026, split by region and country. For the first time the report also breaks down the market by segment, providing growth and market share data for domestic, cross-border, fulfilment and last mile.

The report also addresses e-commerce trends, including the potential within emerging e-commerce logistics markets, and how technologies continue to evolve and drive the market forwards.

Use the report to keep ahead of market trends, seize market opportunities, and to understand the growth trajectory of key e-commerce logistics markets and potential emerging markets.

This report contains

  • Comprehensive e-commerce logistics market size and growth data and analysis from 46 countries as well as forecasts to 2026
  • NEW market segmentation data - broken down between domestic, cross-border, fulfilment and last mile
  • Analysis of the trends and developments impacting e-commerce logistics in 2022
  • Interviews and primary research with leading e-fulfilment, last mile providers and retailers
  • Strategic profiles of leading online retailers & LSPs

This report contains

  • Comprehensive e-commerce logistics market size and growth data and analysis from 46 countries as well as forecasts to 2026
  • NEW market segmentation data - broken down between domestic, cross-border, fulfilment and last mile
  • Analysis of the trends and developments impacting e-commerce logistics in 2022
  • Interviews and primary research with leading e-fulfilment, last mile providers and retailers
  • Strategic profiles of leading online retailers & LSPs

Key findings:

  • The global e-commerce logistics market grew by 19.9% in 2021.
  • Ti’s 2026 CAGR forecasts predict North America will have the largest regional market share by 2026, taking over Asia Pacific’s current dominance in the market.
  • Global e-fulfilment market made up 46.8% of the total for e-commerce logistics, with last mile making up the remaining 53.2% in 2021
  • Cross-border e-commerce market forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 10.65% to 2026.
  • In each of the three key regions, the domestic e-commerce logistics segment represents more than 80% of the total market in both 2021 and 2026.
  • Last mile providers are optimizing their network in order to deal with peak volume and gain efficiencies.
  • Low margins and intense competition in the food & grocery delivery sector has spurred innovative last mile models.

Key questions the report answers:

  • How did the market perform in 2021? And how has each region and market segment performed? 
  • How fast is each market segment (cross-border, fulfilment, last mile and domestic) growing? 
  • Why are some countries displaying sustained trends of extraordinary high market growth?
  • How can emerging market governments help grow ecommerce business and reduce logistics costs?
  • What key measures should leading e-commerce players adopt in order to streamline operations and enhance customer experience?
  • What are the key challenges facing e-commerce logistics entrants?
  • How are last mile providers optimizing their network?
  • How is e-commerce logistics technology evolving? And what role is it playing in enabling e-market growth?

Table of Contents             2

Table of figures  4

1 - EVOLVING LOGISTICS MODELS WITH E-COMMERCE    7

1.1 Asia Pacific   7

1.2 MENA            9

1.3 South and Central America    11

1.4 How can Emerging Market Governments help grow the e-commerce business and reduce logistics costs?    12

2 – GLOBAL E-COMMERCE LOGISTICS MARKET SIZE & GROWTH 2021        14

2.1 Global           14

2.2 Asia Pacific   17

2.3 North America           22

2.4 Europe          25

2.5 South America           30

2.6 Russia, Caucasus and Central Asia      33

2.7 Middle East and North Africa              36

2.8 Sub-Saharan Africa   39

3 – GLOBAL E-COMMERCE LOGISTICS SEGMENTATION AND TRENDS 2021              43

3.1 DOMESTIC   43

3.1.1 Asia Pacific              43

3.1.2 North America        45

3.1.3 Europe       47

3.2 CROSS-BORDER         49

3.2.1 Asia Pacific              49

3.2.2 North America        50

3.2.2 Europe       50

3.3 FULFILMENT               51

3.3.1 Asia Pacific              52

3.3.2 North America        54

3.3.3 Europe       55

3.4 LAST-MILE    56

3.4.1 Asia Pacific              57

 

3.4.2 North America        58

3.4.3 Europe       58

4 – E-COMMERCE FULFILMENT LANDSCAPE          60

4.1 The State of the Market – Development of the Post-Covid e-fulfillment Market Landscape           60

4.2 The e-fulfilment Market         60

4.2.1 Definition of the e-fulfilment Market            60

4.2.2 Categories of e-fulfilment Provider Technology        60

4.3 Growth of e-fulfilment            61

4.4 Broadening of Service Capabilities from Different Players        61

4.4.1 Value Proposition  62

4.4.2 Partnerships            65

4.4.3 Quality       67

4.4.4 Automation and Robotics  68

4.4.5 Scale and Growth  69

4.4.6 Systems     71

4.5 Market Map               73

4.6 Logistics Provider Profiles      74

4.6.1 GEODIS      74

4.6.2 GEOPOST DPD        77

4.6.3 Aramex      79

4.6.4 DHL            81

4.6.5 DSV            84

4.6.6 FedEx         86

4.6.7 Kuhene+Nagel        88

4.6.8 UPS            91

4.6.9 GXO            94

4.6.10 Alibaba    98

4.6.11 Walmart 102

4.6.12 Amazon   104

4.6.13 JD.com    107

4.6.14 Ti’s interviews - Focus on….byrd    110

 

Caterina Ciccone joined Ti in 2019 as a researcher. She studied English and Spanish Modern Languages in Italy where she developed a passion for research. After graduating Caterina studied teaching education at Bath Spa University. She has since then worked as a sales administrator using her Italian and Spanish language skills to support customers and as a researcher in the operational risk field. Caterina is passionate about learning about logistics companies and their strategies and contributes to Logistics Briefing and Ti’s Global Supply Chain intelligence portal.

Michael Sinclair joined Ti in 2021 as a researcher. He studied Criminology and Sociology at Cardiff University where he developed a passion and skillset for research. Michael is passionate about learning about researching logistics companies’ strategy, and what future developments may occur. Michael contributes to Logistics Briefing and Ti’s Global Supply Chain intelligence portal.

Nia Hudson joined Ti as a research analyst in 2021. She studied History as an undergraduate, before moving on to complete a master’s in public policy at Bristol University, where she developed a keen interest in globalisation and supply chains. During her time at Bristol, she also worked as a teaching assistant in a primary school. Nia is passionate about research and contributes to Logistics Reports and Ti’s Global Supply Chain intelligence portal.

Raghu Ramachandran is a Guest Author at Ti and the founder of 13 Colony Global LLC. Raghu retired from UPS in 2015 after 28+ amazingly “fulfilling” years. The company gave him the latitude to get engaged in numerous interesting projects worldwide, and in his last few assignments, Raghu focused on the design, development and launch of an e-commerce solution and leading a team of Managers to assess, evaluate and recommend efficiencies in the Supply Chain of large and medium sized US retailers. Raghu consults on projects covering the 3PL market, supply chain trends, fulfillment, last mile delivery operations, network planning, M & A due diligence and generating new product ideas in an omnichannel environment leveraging technology.

e-commerce logistics market grew by 19.9% in 2021, says Ti’s latest report

15th March, 2022, Bath, UK, Transport Intelligence (Ti): Ti’s latest report, Global e-commerce logistics 2022, shows that rapid growth in the market continues with growth of 19.9% in 2021, though growth has slowed from 2020’s Covid-19 induced peak.

  • The global e-commerce logistics market grew by 19.9% in to reach a value €441.47bn in 2021.
  • Global e-commerce logistics market to grow at a CAGR of 11.8% from 2021-2026
  • Cross-border e-commerce market forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 10.65% to 2026
  • Global e-fulfilment market made up 46.8% of the total for e-commerce logistics, with last mile making up the remaining 53.2% in 2021
  • E-fulfilment service providers have broadened their service offerings to capture more of the e-commerce value chain

Ti’s latest data shows that, regionally, in 2021 Asia Pacific is still the biggest e-commerce logistics market, followed by North America and Europe. However, in 2026, Ti forecasts that North America will be the biggest e-commerce logistics market, with the US, Canada and Mexico all experiencing nominal 2021-26 CAGR above the global average.

There are expectations that the Asia Pacific’s market growth will be affected by both the Chinese and the South Korean market’s 2021-26 CAGR slowing down below not only the global average but the regional average of 7.1% too. Their percentage of online retail sales as a percentage of total sales, at 28.0% and 24.5% respectively, are testimony of mature markets. In addition, the parcel pricing war we’ve seen in China has hampered overall growth. However, the two countries will remain amongst the biggest e-commerce logistics markets globally on the back of a high number of e-shoppers.

A similar situation is likely to happen with the UK’s e-commerce market, with online sales as a percentage of total retail sales standing at 26.6% as of December 2021 as reported by the UK Office of National Statistics. The UK’s e-commerce logistics market is also expected to be affected by Brexit too over the next five years, but it will maintain its place as the third e-commerce logistics market globally after the United States and China.

Ti’s new research also shows for the first time the growth of the developing cross-border e-commerce logistics market, which is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 10.65% from 2021-2026. This growth is expected to continue as consumers seek luxury goods that may not be available within their own countries. However headwinds remain, particularly in terms of compliance with tax and customs regimes surrounding cross-border movements.

The new report also highlights how the e-commerce logistics market is broken down between e-fulfilment and last mile delivery services. In 2021 the global e-fulfilment market was valued at €235.42bn and represented a total of 46.8% of the market. Whereas the larger last mile market had a total value of €253.10bn and constituted the other 53.2% of the market.

Ti’s latest report also drills down further in to the e-fulfilment market, highlighting the structural changes which have taken hold since the beginning of the pandemic. Showing how fulfilment service providers from LSPs to software providers have broadened their service offering to capture more of the e-commerce value chain.

Ti’s Head of Commercial Development, Michael Clover, said: “In 2021 e-commerce has been one of the key growth sectors for logistics and we’ve seen some spectacular revenue growth from individual service providers. Overall growth has slowed since 2020, with growth levelling off as the extraordinary conditions for e-commerce growth brought about by the pandemic unwind, but growth is still above pre-pandemic levels. The forecast out to 2026 portrays a maturing market where online retail penetration levels are sustained in the most mature markets between 25-30% and other markets move up to this level.”

This report is perfect for

  • Global manufacturers
  • Banks and financial institutions
  • Supply chain managers and directors
  • Logistics procurement managers
  • Marketing managers
  • Knowledge managers
  • Investors
  • All C-level executives

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