Q3-22 Air Freight Tracker


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Rates trend downwards in Q2

  • The Global aviation industry is still on its path to post-pandemic recovery.
  • Global air freight rates fell back down to their H1 2021 levels during Q2-22.
  • Loss of Russian aircraft and significant staff shortages are impeding a full post-pandemic recovery.

High inflation, sitting at 8.5% in the US and 8.9% in the eurozone continues to deter consumer expenditure and what is spent is translating into a smaller volume of goods. Air cargo supply has strengthened and largely recovered from its lows in 2020 however a loss of Russian aircraft and significant staff shortages are impeding a full post-pandemic recovery.

 

Air Freight Tracker written by industry researchers, analysts and associates ̶  Tracks the Air freight rate, supply and Demand on major global freight lanes. This report is also accompanied by an Ocean freight equivalent.

Report Highlights

  • Head haul rates across the world are down 25% points year-on-year.
  • Demand for air freight into America’s east coast remains strong with volumes up 4.7 points year-on-year, buoyed by shippers trying to avoid congestion at East Coast ports.
  • US Inventory to Sales ratio sinks to the lowest level for over 15 years.
  • European carriers saw a 13.5% decrease in cargo volumes in June 2022 compared to the same month in 2021.
  • Jet Fuel prices increased by over 50% on every continent during Q2-22.
  • Global Capacity still below pre-pandemic levels.
  • The Asia Pacific region continues to have the highest cargo load factor of all regions, averaging a weight utilization rate of 67.8% in Q2-2022.

 

The full tracker – available on www.ti-insight.com – tracks Air freight rates on major lanes and is supported by an analysis of key rate drivers.

Falling Demand and Limited Capacity

 

In Europe, consumer confidence continues to fall with consumers now facing huge energy bills and gas uncertainty. China’s zero covid policy and economic struggles are hampering both production and consumption. In the U.S. consumption appears resilient but growing inflation is pushing down consumer confidence and the volume of goods demanded.

The Ukrainian conflict has compounded pre-existing capacity issues in the market; the loss of Ukrainian and Russian carriers reduced capacity whilst cancellations in the passenger markets due to staff shortages have reduced the available bellyhold space in the air freight market.

 

About Ti

 

To view the Tracker in full, which includes full analysis, outlook grids by lane and key determinant analysis by lane, please visit https://www.ti-insight.com/air-ocean-freight-rate-tracker/

 

 

 

 

 

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