European Road Freight Transport 2017

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About the 2017 European Road Freight Transport report

The 2017 edition of Ti’s European Road Freight Transport contains seven chapters:

1) European Road Freight Market fundamentals     

2) The Impact of European Policy on the Road Freight Sector

3) Cargo Crime

4) Road Freight Innovation

5) European Road Freight Market Survey

6) Market Size And Forecasts

7) Road Freight Operator Profiles

The report sets the scene by providing an in-depth overview of European road freight market fundamentals, providing a comprehensive background understanding. It then investigates how the market is changing now and in future, by assessing changes to EU policy and technology.

As ever, Ti has updated its market sizing and forecasts, and now provides European road freight markets sizes by value from 2009 to 2020 for the EU28 countries, Norway and Switzerland, segmented domestic and internationally. Real and nominal growth rates are provided from 2010 to 2017, with a real CAGR forecast provided for 2016 to 2020.

To wrap up, the report digs into the finances, operations and strategic backgrounds and outlooks of the leading European road freight providers. It assesses how providers are currently performing and what plans companies are making to adjust to the ever-changing rules and dynamics of the marketplace. The report also features an appendix of market sizing and forecast data as well as a supplementary spreadsheet for subsequent data analysis.

This report contains

  • A comprehensive overview of the market fundamentals of European road freight
  • Market sizing and forecast data for 30 countries.
  • An assessment of how and why the market is changing through lenses such as technology, EU policy, provider strategies, primary survey data and secondary data from Eurostat.

This report contains

  • A comprehensive overview of the market fundamentals of European road freight
  • Market sizing and forecast data for 30 countries.
  • An assessment of how and why the market is changing through lenses such as technology, EU policy, provider strategies, primary survey data and secondary data from Eurostat.

Key questions answered

  • How large is the European road freight market and how fast is it growing?
  • What technological developments will affect road freight most in future?
  • What impact will the EC’s ‘Mobility Package’ of reforms have on road freight?

1) European Road Freight Market fundamentals   

A comprehensive overview of key aspects of the European road freight market

 

2) The Impact of European Policy on the Road Freight Sector

What is the European Commission Mobility Package of May 31, 2017 and how will it impact European road freight?

 

3) Cargo Crime

The impact of cargo crime on the European road freight market

 

4) Road Freight Innovation

Which technological developments will affect road freight most in future?

 

5) European Road Freight Market Survey

Provides the industry’s view on major road freight issues

 

6) Market Size And Forecasts

European road freight markets sizes, growth rates and forecasts from 2009 to 2020 for the EU28 countries, Norway and Switzerland

 

7) Road Freight Operator Profiles

Assessments of the financial, operational and strategic positions of Europe’s leading road freight providers.

Supply side issues looming for the European road freight market, warns latest Ti report

Ti’s latest report, European Road Freight Transport 2017, warns that a number of supply side issues cloud the future of the industry.

Driver shortages are a serious concern, EU proposals affecting minimum wage and cabotage rules threaten upheaval, while technological innovations pose a number of questions.

Platooning and digital freight marketplaces are affecting the market now or will in the near future, while further down the line, electric vehicles, alternative fuels and autonomous vehicles threaten more dramatic change.

Ti Analyst, Alex Le Roy, stated: “Various technologies are gradually extending their influence over the physical activity of road transportation, in addition to the allocation of resources.”

However, Le Roy also notes that ‘disruption’ of road transportation is highly unlikely, and that most of the significant developments are incremental in nature: “We are a long way from truly driverless vehicles at present, but elements of the driver’s experience are gradually becoming more automated,” he said, adding, “practices such as platooning are likely to become commercially viable in the near future.”

A survey by Ti of European road freight stakeholders, published in the report, provides insight into the market’s view of some other key supply side issues.

Viki Keckarovska, Research Analyst, remarked: “The industry believes driver shortages will pose a major threat over the next five years, with government anti-diesel regulations and city bans also at the forefront of minds.

She added: “Disagreements over the EC’s Mobility Package of road freight reforms appear to reflect a West-East clash, with the proposals attempting to reach compromises. For example, the proposed rules on posted workers protect Western European companies more than the status quo, whereas the proposed changes to cabotage rules imply the opposite.”

As for the demand side, market volume growth continues to bump along in the low single digits. Ti’s market sizing study estimates that the European road freight market grew by 2.4% in real terms in 2016, with the market expected to grow at a real compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.0% from 2016 to 2020.

The operating environment is by no means easy for the market leaders, with operating margins stubbornly low for the likes of DB Schenker, DHL Freight and Kuehne + Nagel, as DSV continues to lead the pack in terms of profitability.

Andy Ralls, Quantitative Analyst, commented: “The road freight market remains a fragmented and competitive space where providers face a tough battle to increase volumes and market share. They cannot rely on overall market volume growth to keep their businesses strong. Market growth rates are in the low single digits and will remain there for the foreseeable future.”

Common growth strategies among leading road freight providers appear to focus on IT and R&D spending, diversification into adjacent services and boosting sector-specific offerings.

Overall, the demand side of the market remains fairly predictable, but the same certainly cannot be said for the supply side. Industry stakeholders need to carefully understand the key issues and adjust their strategies accordingly going forward.

Source: Transport Intelligence, October 19, 2017

 

  Prof John Manners-Bell is Chief Executive of Ti, Honorary Visiting Professor at the London Metropolitan University’s Guildhall Faculty of Business and Law and an adviser to the World Economic Forum. He has over 25 years’ experience working in and analysing the global logistics sector.
 
David Buckby

Having obtained a Masters in Economics David is now Ti’s resident Economist. David manages one of Ti’s core strengths, that of quantitative analysis of a range of logistics markets, including sizing and forecasting. David contributes to the GSCi portal, Ti Reports and consultancy projects.

 

As a graduate in International Relations, Alexander Le Roy brings a variety of knowledge and interest to his role as an Analyst at Ti.

Alexander joined the Ti research department in 2013. Since joining the company, he has contributed to 9 top selling Ti reports, in addition to the Global Supply Chain Intelligence portal. The breadth of his analysis includes content on logistics providers, logistics markets and supply chain software. Alexander has developed a significant body of work in the evaluation of log-tech start-ups, and holds a keen interest in the latest technological developments in the industry.

 

Violeta Keckarovska is a research analyst with vast experience in the design, implementation and analysis of electronic and person-to-person surveys. Having worked across a number of sectors, including retail, luxury goods and FMCG, Violeta is experienced in gaining valuable insights across brand perception, voice of customer and strategic re-positioning intelligence campaigns for B-to-B and B-to-C clients.

As a member of the Market Research Society, Violeta brings best practice in research, insight and analytics across Ti.

 

Andy Ralls is a quantitative analyst at Ti. He graduated from the University of Southampton with a Mathematics with Finance degree in 2014. In his studies, he chose a final year project on actuarial modelling and forecasting and enjoyed modules on statistical distribution theory, financial mathematics and macroeconomics.

Andy has since worked for a top accountancy firm and for a wealth management company. These experiences give him a strong understanding of company accounts and investment products and has given him a wider understanding of the financial sector.

 

This report is perfect for

This report is specifically written to provide comprehensive and easily accessible strategic information to those involved or with an interest in this sector as well as:

  • Global manufacturers
  • Banks and financial institutions
  • Supply chain managers and directors
  • Logistics procurement managers
  • Marketing managers
  • Knowledge managers
  • Investors
  • All C-level executives

Contact our sales team

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